In the Wake of Devastating U.S. Strike, Khamenei Faces Impossible Decisions
As global tensions spike following the U.S. airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is weighing dangerous response options, from closing the Strait of Hormuz to pushing full-speed toward nuclear weapons, but none without major consequences.
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In the wake of the devastating U.S. strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei faces a menu of potential responses, none of which appear particularly wise, according to Israeli and U.S. assessments, as reported by i24 News.
One possibility on the table is blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil chokepoint. However, such a move wouldn’t only provoke the United States, it would likely ignite tensions with Gulf states as well, many of whom are openly hostile toward Tehran. As analysts note, this route may escalate regional instability without delivering strategic gains for Iran.
Another option involves direct attacks on American vessels in the Persian Gulf. A U.S. source warned that Washington is fully prepared: “If the Iranians strike even the smallest target, missiles will be launched immediately. The response is ready and doesn’t require additional preparation.”
Iran could also choose to activate its proxy network, including armed groups in Iraq. But sources believe this would backfire, as the U.S. has signaled it will interpret any proxy action as a direct Iranian attack, justifying a strike on Iranian territory in response.
The final and most provocative option is a full sprint toward nuclear armament, which could include withdrawing from the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). But doing so would place Iran in direct conflict with the international community, essentially confirming its intent to develop nuclear weapons and risking further isolation or military action.
An Israeli official summed up the uncertainty: “We have no idea what Khamenei will decide. It’s an open question, and so far, no word has come from him.”
An Israeli official told Ynet, "If Iran’s Supreme Leader halts his attacks and shows a desire for a ceasefire, Israel would be willing to agree." But that would probably include stopping all attacks by Iranian proxies too, and ending the war with Hamas. Can Iran really get on board with that?