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Mind-boggling

Is Israel Moving Toward a Two-State Solution?! U.S.-Led Push Aims to End Gaza War and Expand Abraham Accords

A bold U.S.-Israeli peace initiative is emerging, aiming to rapidly end the Gaza war and transform Middle Eastern diplomacy. Spearheaded by President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu, the plan includes a quick Gaza ceasefire, a new Arab-led governance replacing Hamas, global resettlement for Gazan refugees, expanded Abraham Accords with key regional players, and a conditional path toward a two-state solution.

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Ultra orthodox Jewish reserve soldiers of the IDF's Hasmonean Brigade operate in the Gaza Strip on June 26, 2025. The Hasmonean Brigade is the Israel Defense Forces' new Haredi (ultra orthodox) brigade.
Photo by Chaim Goldberg/FLASH90

In the aftermath of a 12-day war with Iran, a bold U.S.-led peace initiative is taking shape, aiming to swiftly conclude the Gaza conflict and reshape Middle Eastern diplomacy, according to a Thursday report from Israel Hayom. U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu are driving this ambitious plan, which was reportedly hashed out in a four-way phone call involving Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer, held immediately after the U.S. operation against Iran.

The proposed framework outlines a transformative regional strategy with several key elements:

Rapid Gaza Ceasefire: The war could end within two weeks, accompanied by the release of all hostages.

New Gaza Governance: An interim administration, including Egypt and the United Arab Emirates, would take over the Gaza Strip, ousting Hamas, with remaining Hamas leaders facing exile.

Global Resettlement: Nations worldwide would agree to accept Gazan residents seeking to emigrate.

Expanded Abraham Accords: The landmark normalization deals would extend to include Syria, Saudi Arabia, and other Arab and Muslim countries establishing formal ties with Israel.

Two-State Pathway: Israel would signal openness to a future Palestinian state, pending major reforms within the Palestinian Authority.

U.S. Recognition: Washington would acknowledge some Israeli sovereignty in Yehudah and Shomron.

Sources close to the discussions told Israel Hayom that the leaders were buoyed not only by the operational success of the Iran strike but also by the diplomatic doors it has opened. This plan, if realized, could mark a seismic shift, raising questions about Israel’s stance on a two-state solution amid evolving regional dynamics.

An Israeli analyst has pointed out that this is potentially the price Israel has to pay for Trump agreeing to bomb Iran. Obviously, it's too soon to tell what's coming, but anyone with even one brain cell will tell you the two- state solution is a horrific thing for Israel's future.

Here's why:

Security is a major worry. A Palestinian state in Judea and Samaria would be just a short distance from key cities like Jerusalem and Tel Aviv, about 10-15 miles in some spots, making it vulnerable to attacks or rocket fire. The 2005 Gaza withdrawal, where Hamas took over and launched thousands of rockets since 2007, including during recent conflicts, serves as a stark example. Some fear a similar outcome, especially with groups like Palestinian Islamic Jihad potentially gaining influence.

Trust is another issue. Past peace efforts, such as the Oslo Accords, Camp David in 2000, and Olmert’s 2008 proposal, were rejected by Palestinian leadership, and the October 7, 2023, attack, which killed 1,200 and abducted 250, has deepened skepticism. Critics argue that a new state might not ensure peace, especially if the Palestinian Authority struggles to maintain control and prevent groups like Hamas from taking hold.

Identity and demographics also play a role. Creating a Palestinian state would likely involve relocating around 450,000 Israeli settlers from Judea and Samaria, areas which are central to Jewish heritage. Additionally, if millions of Palestinian refugees were allowed to return, it could shift Israel’s Jewish majority, raising questions about its future as a Jewish state.

Strategically, there’s concern about regional isolation. The U.S.-led push to expand the Abraham Accords with countries like Saudi Arabia and Syria could be undermined if a new Palestinian state aligns with Iran or its proxies, especially after the recent war. With Tehran’s influence still a factor, some worry Israel could face increased pressure if U.S. support fluctuates.

The Two State Solution is frightening because it could well compromise Israel’s safety and identity, especially in the current tense climate.

That's why Israel has been fighting against it so hard. But who knows? Maybe Trump will finally be the one to push it through. As we all know, there really are no free lunches.

It's all getting clearer, with Netanyahu expressing interest in visiting Trump again, and Trump suddenly (and quite bizarrely) begging Israel's courts to cancel Bibi's corruption court case.


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