Gallup: More Republicans than Democrats for first time in decades
A new Gallup polling average on partisan affiliation, which has been predictive of every election since 1992, may contain clues for the results of the coming election.
A polling average released by Gallup yesterday (Tuesday) for the months of July-September shows more American voters leaning towards the Republican party than the Democratic Party, 48-45.
According to Gallup, this is the first time the Republican Party has had such a lead since 1992, when Republicans generally win elections when they are "only" behind Democrats by a relatively small number.
Per Gallup's analysis, the result of the July-September average has been predictive of every election since 1992, though there is no way of knowing what a Republican majority election might look like, if the numbers are converted into votes.
A new poll by Muhlenberg College/Morning Call released today shows Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris tied for the race to win the state of Pennsylvania, a must-win swing state for both candidates with 19 electoral votes.
Both Trump and Harris get 48% of the vote from likely voters in the poll, a result in line with multiple polls over the past few weeks which showed both candidates in a dead heat or very close statistical tie.