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Burning the Clock

The Gaza Gamble: Netanyahu’s Final War Begins

Analysis of Israel's planned full-scale invasion of Gaza, examining Netanyahu's strategy, military preparations, and potential consequences for hostages and regional stability.

6 min read
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Netanyahu makes a statement on the recent Government storm
Photo: Mayif Toef/Government Press Office

If you thought this war was winding down - think again.

Tonight, in a move that feels like a ticking time bomb detonating right on schedule, senior officials from the Prime Minister’s Office are briefing the press: “The decision has been made — Israel is heading for a full conquest of Gaza in the near future.”

No more limited raids. No more surgical operations ending in political arguments over “who won.” This time: Ground invasion. Total control. Long-term military presence.

IDF Prepares, Opposition Silenced

Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir has canceled his planned trip to Washington, where he was due to coordinate with the Pentagon. Why? Apparently, he doesn’t want to be mid-air when the firestorm erupts on the ground.

And what happens to anyone in the defense establishment who objects? “Let them resign,” Netanyahu’s office reportedly said. Sharp. Blunt. No gloves.

Two Years of War — And Hamas Still Holds 50 Hostages

Let’s remember where we are: The Swords of Iron” war has been raging for nearly two years -ever since that dark October 7th, 2023 that changed everything.

Hamas is still entrenched underground, with tunnels, rockets, and - most painfully - hostages, who’ve now spent 668 days in a living nightmare.

Recently released footage shows horrifying scenes: bodies, torture, starvation. The clock is ticking.

Negotiations for a ceasefire? Collapsed. Hamas demands total Israeli surrender. Israel’s answer: “We will not surrender.”

According to Netanyahu aides: “Hamas won’t release any more hostages without surrender - so we will invade and destroy.”

The IDF already controls about 65% of the Gaza Strip - from northern Gaza to the Netzarim Corridor to various buffer zones. But now, Israel is setting its sights on the densely populated heart of Gaza: refugee camps, Gaza City - areas long avoided out of concern for hostage lives.

From Israel’s perspective, there’s no alternative. Hamas won’t disappear on its own.

A full conquest means territorial control, destruction of terror infrastructure, rocket-free zones near Israeli communities, and the reestablishment of secure zones. As Netanyahu has promised repeatedly: “Total victory.”

But let’s be realistic: this isn’t Hollywood.

Gaza presents a complex and lethal combat arena — overcrowded, booby-trapped, and saturated with civilian shields and subterranean terror infrastructure.

A ground maneuver will be costly. Soldiers will die. Hostages may be killed.

Palestinian sources report 60,000 dead - a number Israel disputes, but which damages Israel’s international image nonetheless.

Senior IDF voices are warning: “This could become a quagmire - like Lebanon in 2006 or Gaza in 2008–2014.”

Chief of Staff Zamir is reportedly opposed. He knows what “occupation” means: two million civilians, and responsibility for food, water, electricity. Who pays? Who governs?

Netanyahu's Ultimate Test: Savior or Downfall?

This is the moment. Politically, Netanyahu is cornered - and emboldened.

On one side, far-right coalition partners like Ben Gvir and Smotrich are demanding annexation and a “complete Land of Israel.” Ben Gvir tweeted: “Full occupation - now is the time.”

On the other side, Netanyahu faces mounting court battles, growing protests, and the political pressure to appear decisive before the next election.

He’s already rejected hostage deals - including the one in March, which he deemed a Hamas scam. Now, he’s using press briefings to prepare the public for war.

Zamir’s canceled trip to the U.S.? Is it a sign of tension with Washington - or unprecedented coordination? Time will tell. Or maybe Trump will tweet.

Yes, Trump. He supports Israel - but believes the Hamas “starvation campaign” narrative. He even said “the Gaza disengagement was a mistake”, yet has no appetite for a world war.

Meanwhile, Arab states are offering alternatives - a temporary administration, disarmament of Hamas - but Jerusalem sees these proposals as concessions.

Public opinion in Israel is divided: Surveys show strong support for a complete victory (about 70% want Hamas eradicated) — but there's also fear of the price: more casualties, another reservist draft, and economic downturn.

Hostage families are furious: “This means losing both the hostages and the soldiers sent to rescue them.”

The Stakes: Victory or Collapse

Let’s break it down:

Security: Success means long-term quiet, the dismantling of Hamas as a military entity, and restoring safety to Israel’s south. Failure? Gaza becomes another Lebanon — guerrilla warfare, teenage Hamas recruits, booby traps. Israel will lose troops, momentum, and eventually hand Gaza over to the Palestinian Authority or an Arab-led force.

Economy: The war already costs over ₪20 billion per year. Reservist call-ups are crushing small businesses. Tourism is dead. Trump’s trade policies threaten Israeli exports.

Society: The divide is deepening. The left will protest — “Netanyahu is sacrificing the hostages for politics.” The right will celebrate — “Finally, victory.” Bereaved families will demand answers.

International: Expect backlash. The U.S. could freeze aid. Europe will condemn. Arab nations may distance themselves. On the flip side, this may strengthen anti-Iran alliances.

What Happens Next?

Tomorrow, August 5th, Israel’s security cabinet will convene. If approved: expect more reservist mobilization, aerial softening strikes, ground maneuvers into refugee camps, and tunnel encirclements.

Alternatives? One final ultimatum through mediators (Qatar, Egypt), or a regional deal for demilitarizing Gaza and exiling Hamas leadership.

Long-term? Temporary occupation without Jewish settlements (Netanyahu has opposed this until now), followed by transfer of control to an external authority - to avoid the quagmire.

But if this ends in annexation? It could reshape the Middle East - and Israel will pay the price.

Final Word: No More Waiting

From a clear-eyed perspective: This is a bold and necessary step - a real attempt at victory after nearly two years of indecision and drift.

Netanyahu knows he's crossing a Rubicon - between triumph and disaster. But Israel must win - not merely survive.

The world is watching. The hostages are waiting. Time is running out.

And one truth must be stated plainly: There is no other option. Hamas will not surrender, will not release hostages. It is jihadist to its core - and it thrives on death.

Hamas knows the hostages are its last card.

Israel has one final shot at total victory - and it must be swift, efficient, and ignore Western hand-wringing. Because delay means less legitimacy - and more dead Israelis.


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