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Did Any of Iran’s Missiles Hit Their Targets?

1,000 Drones, Zero Direct Hits: Israel’s Defenses Foil Iran’s Missile and Drone Barrage

Israel’s Operation Rising Lion has faced significant Iranian retaliation, with 400 ballistic missiles and 1,000 explosive drones launched, but only a small fraction hit targets, causing fewer casualties than anticipated. The IDF’s robust defense systems and strategic strikes have limited Iran’s ability to inflict damage, highlighting the effectiveness of Israel’s military campaign.

2 min read
Drone.
Photo: isoprotonic/Shutterstock

Since the launch of Operation Rising Lion on June 13, 2025, Israel has faced a relentless barrage from Iran, with the Islamic Republic launching 400 long-range ballistic missiles and 1,000 explosive drones targeting Israeli territory. According to IDF data released on Wednesday, only 20 missiles struck built-up areas, causing casualties and property damage, while fewer than 200 drones penetrated Israeli airspace, with none actually hitting their intended targets. This outcome, while revealing some vulnerabilities, aligns with Defense Ministry projections, with casualty figures “tens of percent's lower” than pre-strike estimates, underscoring the effectiveness of Israel’s multilayered defense systems.

The IDF’s success in limiting damage stems from its advanced interception capabilities, including the Iron Dome, Arrow missile system, and naval defenses like the Barak Magen system. Of the 400 ballistic missiles, only 5% impacted populated areas, a stark contrast to Iran’s intended devastation. The 1,000 drones, intended to overwhelm Israel’s defenses, saw an 80% failure rate in even reaching Israeli airspace, with all intercepted or malfunctioning before striking targets. This reflects the IDF’s strategic dominance, bolstered by preemptive strikes that destroyed over 120 Iranian missile launchers and 70 air defense batteries, severely hampering Tehran’s retaliatory capacity.

Operation Rising Lion, aimed at dismantling Iran’s nuclear and missile programs, has shifted the Israel-Iran conflict from covert operations to open warfare. Israeli airstrikes, supported by Mossad’s covert drone operations, have targeted key facilities like Natanz and eliminated senior IRGC commanders, disrupting Iran’s ability to mount effective counterattacks. Despite Iran’s persistent aggression, including missile strikes on Tel Aviv and Haifa, Israel’s early warning systems, providing up to 30 minutes of alert time, have minimized civilian harm. The IDF continues to strike Iranian infrastructure, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowing to persist “for as many days as it takes” to neutralize the threat, signaling Israel’s resolve in this escalating conflict.


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